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Michael Buehler

Comparative political scientist and country-conditions expert on Southeast Asia (especially Indonesia, Myanmar, the Philippines, and Vietnam). Provides independent reports, tailored risk assessments, and oral evidence for asylum/CAT and immigration cases, with specialisms in authoritarian governance, civil–military relations, policing/surveillance, and risks to religious and ethnic minorities.

Name
Michael Buehler
Occupation
Associate Professor in Comparative Politics
Expertise

I am a comparative political scientist specializing in Southeast Asia, with country expertise spanning Indonesia, Malaysia, Singapore, Thailand, Myanmar (Burma), the Philippines, Vietnam, Cambodia, Laos, Brunei, and Timor-Leste. My work focuses on authoritarianism and democratization, subnational governance, political dynasties, civil–military relations, policing and surveillance, corruption and anti-corruption, elections and party politics, and the treatment of journalists, activists, and minority communities.

I have deep expertise on subnational political regimes, Islamic politics and legal regulation, centre–local power relations, and the political economy of the security and energy sectors. Across the region I analyse state protection gaps, enforcement practices, conditions in detention, and the feasibility of internal relocation, issues that frequently arise in asylum/CAT proceedings.

My analyses draw on long-term academic research, consultancy assignments, expert-witness work, and sustained engagement with multilingual primary sources (official documents, court records, policy and human-rights reporting, local and international media) as well as interviews with practitioners, civil society, and scholars across the region. I routinely produce country-conditions assessments that synthesize these materials into clear, decision-relevant findings for legal audiences.

Experience

Since 2017, I have been instructed in protection/asylum, withholding of removal, and CAT matters and have produced six formal expert reports/declarations, including four in 2025. I have provided oral evidence in four U.S. immigration court hearings (including Dallas and Fairfax) and contributed expert opinion in a UK protection claim. Recent instructions include RAICES (Philippines, 2025), Wildes & Weinberg (Myanmar, 2025), Van Der Hout LLP (Philippines, 2025), Murray Osorio PLLC (Vietnam, 2025), Legal Aid Justice Center (Indonesia/Papua, 2023), and ATLEU (Indonesia/trafficking-related protection claim, 2017). My reports typically combine country-conditions analysis, tailored risk assessments, and evaluations of internal relocation and state protection, grounded in multilingual sources and practitioner networks.

Publications
Languages
English, French, German, Indonesian, Spanish
Ethnic groups expertise
Indigenous Papuans (West Papua/New Guinea): Expert analysis and testimony on risks to Papuan activists and communities, including a U.S. asylum case concerning a Papuan independence leader and commissioned analyses on Papuan discontent.
Chinese–Burmese communities (Myanmar): Country-conditions reporting and risk assessment for a Chinese-Burmese applicant targeted under Myanmar’s 2024 conscription activation.
Bangsamoro/Moro communities (Mindanao, Philippines): Ongoing analysis of conflict dynamics and security-sector reforms (e.g., MILF decommissioning) alongside multiple Philippines asylum instructions.
Rohingya (Myanmar): Public commentary and analysis on mass violence and state persecution of Rohingya communities.
Ethnic minorities in Indonesia (general): Affidavits and reports addressing discrimination against ethnic minorities (alongside religious and other vulnerable groups) in protection claims.
Political groups expertise
Indonesia: Papuan independence movement (e.g., OPM and related civic networks); Indonesian security services (TNI; POLRI incl. Densus 88); major political parties (PDI-P, Golkar, Gerindra, PKS); Islamic mass organizations (Nahdlatul Ulama, Muhammadiyah); vigilante/pressure groups (e.g., FPI) and state intelligence (BIN).
Myanmar (Burma): State Administration Council/Tatmadaw and associated militias (incl. Pyu Saw Htee); National Unity Government (NUG) and People’s Defence Forces (PDFs); Union Solidarity and Development Party (USDP); local administrative/conscription bodies implementing the People’s Military Service Law.
Philippines: Moro movements (MILF, MNLF) and Bangsamoro institutions (e.g., BTA); Armed Forces of the Philippines (AFP); Philippine National Police (PNP) and specialized anti-drug units; local political clans and private armed groups implicated in political violence.
Vietnam: Communist Party of Vietnam (CPV); Ministry of Public Security (MPS) and People’s Public Security; provincial security organs and their role in monitoring dissidents.
Religious groups expertise
Indonesia: Sunni Islamic mass organizations (Nahdlatul Ulama, Muhammadiyah); Indonesian Ulema Council (MUI) and shari’a-inspired local regulations; Islamist vigilante/pressure movements; Ahmadiyah and Shia minorities; Christian minorities (including converts and house-church communities); Hindu-Balinese communities.
Myanmar (Burma): Theravada Buddhist sangha and nationalist networks (e.g., MaBaTha/969); Rohingya and other Muslim communities; Christian minorities (e.g., Chin, Kachin, Karen) and patterns of faith-based persecution.
Philippines: Catholic Church institutions; Iglesia ni Cristo; Evangelical/Pentecostal networks; Bangsamoro Muslim communities and the religion–security nexus in Mindanao.
Vietnam: State-recognized vs. unregistered groups; Vietnam Buddhist Sangha vs. independent Buddhist currents; Hoa Hao and Cao Dai; Evangelical/Protestant house-church networks including ethnic-minority Christians.
Thailand, Cambodia, Laos: Theravada Buddhist institutions and state oversight; Muslim minorities in Thailand’s Deep South; Christian and animist communities in upland areas.
Malaysia & Brunei: Sunni Islam under state religious authorities (e.g., JAKIM/state religious departments); restrictions affecting Shia and Ahmadiyah; Christian and Hindu minorities.
Singapore & Timor-Leste: Management of inter-faith relations (Singapore) and the role of the Catholic Church in state and society (Timor-Leste).
Fees
[Private to EIN members]
Contact email
Phone
[Private to EIN members]
Address
[Private to EIN members]